Research Report on China Polysilicon Industry, 2011-2012

50pages

Published Date: January 2011

Published By: China Research and Intelligence Co., Ltd. (CRI)
Description


As the raw material for two industries, polysilicon is on the one hand applied in the preparation for polysilicon wafer in the semiconductor industry which is used as the substrate of semi-conductor silicon chip, thus silicon materials must meet strict requirements of purity and adulteration specifications; on the other hand, it can be applied in the production of solar cell panel in the photovoltaic (PV) field by purchasing non-specific materials eliminated in the semiconductor industry.

Although the PV cell occupies a very small part of the power field in the world, its importance should not be overlooked. Polysilicon and monocrystalline silicon dominate the market. The monocrystalline processed with the scraps of silicon bulk can meet the requirements of solar cell which does not need ultra purity like that of silicon wafer used in the semiconductor device. At present, the consumption of the semiconductor industry is 2/3 of the polysilicon output, and the remaining 1/3 are applied in solar cells.

International polysilicon enterprises are mainly such 7 traditional ones as Hemlock, Wacker, REC, MEMC, Tokuyama, Mitsubishi, and Sumitomo, which occupied over 90% shares of global polysilicon market before 2008. After 2008, OCI company of South Korea emerged as a new force with the productivity expanded abruptly, reaching 17,000 tons at the end of 2010. As the demand for global polysilicon market continues to heat up, polysilicon giants excessively announced to expand production capacity by virtue of technical and financial strength. It is predicted that the production capacity of these international enterprises will see a continuous rise around 2012.

Due to the rising polysilicon prices in 2006-2008, a large number of investors were attracted to China. In recent years, the polysilicon industry has been a hot investment project in numerous new energy industries.

Many local governments in China take attracting polysilicon enterprises as the direction of introducing investment. Leshan of Sichuan, Chongqing, Wuhan, and Luoyang in Central and Western China, and Xuzhou, Yangzhou, Lianyungang, etc. in East China are called as the Polysilicon Bases. Since 2008, there have been over 10 large polysilicon projects under construction, many of which announced to have largest productivity in China themselves. But according to the market survey conducted at the end of 2010 by China Research and Intelligence, by the end of 2010, many of these projects have not been put into production due to lack of funds, technology, etc.

In 2010, China's polysilicon productivity reached 50,000 tons and the output exceeded 30,000 tons.

Benefiting from the rapid development of the PV industry, international polysilicon prices have been soaring since 2005, which reached 500 USD/kg in 2008. Influenced by the international financial crisis in 2008, the market price of polysilicon has been falling to be 40 USD/kg in April, 2010. But with the economic recovery and the reduction in the prices of PV units, the scale of global PV installation market is continuously expanded, which also expands the demand for polysilicon and gradually increases the price. In October, 2010, the international polysilicon spot prices ranged from 60-80 USD/kg, and the long-term order prices ranged from 55-60 USD/kg. In December 2010, the polysilicon spot price in Chinese market exceeded 100 USD/kg.

The initial investment in polysilicon is large. In general, every 1,000-ton polysilicon productivity entails about CNY 700-800 million. Besides, due to the long construction period (2 years), and the high technical threshold, the situation of dependence on import of polysilicon will last for some time, although the Chinese government has listed the PV industry as a strategic emerging industry in the future. In 2009, the import volume of China's polysilicon was about 24,300 tons, and the import value was about USD 1.70 billion. In 2010, the import volume exceeded 40,000 tons.
Seen from the import sources of China's polysilicon, the import value of the U.S.A, South Korea, and Germany account for over 80% of the total.

The production technique of China's polysilicon enterprises still lags behind major foreign competitors to a certain degree, and the production cost of the majority of enterprises is above 40 USD/kg, while that of foreign advanced manufacturers is below 30 USD/kg. Besides, the majority of China's polysilicon enterprises have a small production scale, short production period, and inferior product quality. Seen from the polysilicon market price, China's polysilicon price is generally higher than that of the international market, and the competitiveness of China's local polysilicon enterprises is limited.

Since 2010, foreign polysilicon enterprises have expanded production substantially. For instance, OCI company of South Korea plans to invest USD 8.40 billion in 2010-2020, and increase its productivity from 35,000 tons/year currently to over 110,000 tons/year. Hemlock, Wacker Chemie AG, etc. are also expanding productivity. PV enterprises generally choose to place long-term orders for polysilicon in order to ensure the stability in the upstream supply of polysilicon. Therefore, foreign enterprises have advantages of output, quality, price, etc. of polysilicon, which will have an impact on China's polysilicon industry.

More following information can be acquired from this report:

  • Status Quo of China's Polysilicon Industry
  • Change Trend of China's Polysilicon Productivity
  • Change Trend of China's Polysilicon Prices
  • Major Polysilicon Manufacturers in China and Their Introductions 
  • Import and Export of China's Polysilicon Industry
  • Introduction of China's Polysilicon Investment Projects
  • Prediction on Development Trend of China's Polysilicon Industry

Following people are suggested to buy this report:

  • Polysilicon Manufacturers
  • Polysilicon Equipment Manufacturers
  • Polysilicon Trading Enterprises
  • Polysilicon Downstream Enterprises
  • Investors Focusing on Polysilicon Industry
  • Research Institutions Focusing on Polysilicon Industry

 

 

Table of Content

1 Overview of Polysilicon Industry
1.1 Concept
1.1.1 Definition
1.1.2 Classification of Polysilicon
1.1.3 Applications of Polysilicon
1.1.4 Major Production Techniques of Polysilicon
1.2 Analysis on Global Polysilicon Industry, 2009-2011
1.2.1 Overview of Global Polysilicon Industry, 2009-2011
1.2.2 Analysis on Supply of Global Polysilicon Market
1.2.3 Analysis on Demand of Global Polysilicon Market
1.2.4 Analysis on Price Trend of Global Polysilicon Market
1.2.5 Prediction on Development Trend of Global Polysilicon Market

2 Analysis on China's Polysilicon Industry, 2009-2011

2.1 Development Environment Analysis
2.1.1 Policy Environment
2.1.2 Economic Environment
2.1.3 Prediction on China's Polysilicon Market
2.2 Supply Analysis on China's Polysilicon, 2009-2011
2.2.1 Analysis on Polysilicon Productivity of China's Local Enterprises
2.2.2 Prediction on China's Polysilicon Productivity, 2011-2012
2.3 Demand Analysis on China's Polysilicon Market, 2009-2011
2.3.1 Demand Overview
2.3.2 Demand Trend of China's Polysilicon Market, 2011-2012
2.4 Analysis on China's Polysilicon Prices, 2010-2011
2.4.1 Factors Influencing Prices
2.4.2 Price Trend of China's Polysilicon
2.5 Import and Export of China's Polysilicon, 2009-2011
2.5.1 Analysis on Polysilicon Import
2.5.2 Analysis on Polysilicon Export
2.5.3 Prediction on Import and Export

3 Analysis on Major Polysilicon Manufacturers in the World, 2010-2011

3.1 Hemlock
3.1.1 Corporate Profile
3.1.2 Productivity Analysis
3.1.3 Corporate Development Strategy
3.2 Tokuyama
3.2.1 Corporate Profile
3.2.2 Productivity Analysis
3.2.3 Corporate Development Strategy
3.3 Wacker
3.3.1 Corporate Profile
3.3.2 Productivity Analysis
3.3.3 Corporate Development Strategy
3.4 REC
3.5 MEMC
3.6 Mitsubishi Materials Corporation
3.7 Sumitomo Titanium
3.8 OCI

4 Analysis on Major Monocrystalline Silicon/Polysilicon Manufacturers in China, 2010-2011

4.1 Luoyang Sino-silicon High-tech Co., Ltd.
4.1.1 Corporate Profile
4.1.2 Productivity Analysis
4.1.3 Corporate Development Strategy
4.2 Fine Silicon Co., Ltd.
4.3 Jiangsu Zhongneng Silicon Technology Development Co., Ltd.
4.4 Sichuan Xinguang Silicon Technology Co., Ltd.
4.5 Sichuan Ruineng Silicon Material Co., Ltd.
(about 20 enterprises in total)

5 Forecast on Investment and Development of Chinese Polysilicon Industry, 2011-2012
5.1 Analysis on Polysilicon Projects Under Construction and Prepared for Construction in China
5.1.1 Analysis on Projects under Construction
5.1.2 Analysis on Projects Prepared for Construction
5.1.3 Prediction on China's Polysilicon Productivity, 2011-2015
5.2 Analysis on Investment Opportunities in China's Polysilicon Industry, 2011-2012
5.2.1 Analysis on Market Opportunities
5.2.2 Analysis on Investment Precautions


List Of Figures

NA


List Of Tables


Chart Productivity and Output of Traditional Polysilicon Enterprises in the World, 2005-2010
Chart Productivity and Output of Traditional Polysilicon Enterprises in the World by the End of 2010 
Chart Productivity Analysis on New Polysilicon Entrants in the World, 2008-2010
Chart Global Demand for Solar Polysilicon, 2003-2010 
Chart Global Polysilicon Output, 2003-2010 
Chart Global Solar Polysilicon Output, 2003-2010
Chart China's Polysilicon Output, 2003-2010
Chart China's Polysilicon Productivity by the End of 2010
Chart Prediction on China's Polysilicon Productivity, 2011-2015
Chart Demand for China's Polysilicon, 2003-2010 
Chart Spot Price of Polysilicon in International Market, 2003-2010
Chart Polysilicon Productivity of Hemlock, 2007-2011
Chart Polysilicon Productivity of Tokuyama, 2007-2011
Chart Polysilicon Productivity of Wacker, 2007-2011
Chart Polysilicon Productivity of Jiangsu Zhongneng Silicon Technology Development Co., Ltd. 
Chart Polysilicon Productivity of Jiangxi Saiwei
Chart Polysilicon Productivity of Luoyang Sino-silicon 
Chart Prediction on Demand for China's Polysilicon, 2011-2015

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